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2024-12-13 05:46:59

IShares China large-cap ETF rose 8%, Kraneshares Shanghai-Shenzhen-China Internet ETF rose 10.3%.Soochow securities interprets the meeting of the Politburo in December: there is more room for imagination in the policy of steady growth next year. soochow securities said that the meeting of the Politburo in December put forward three new formulations, indicating that there is more room for imagination in the policy of steady growth next year. The first is to "stabilize the property market and stock market". On September 26th, the Politburo meeting described the real estate market and the capital market as "to promote the real estate market to stop falling and stabilize" and "to vigorously boost the capital market". In December, the Politburo meeting put forward more directly and clearly: "Stabilize the property market and the stock market". The second is "moderately loose monetary policy". After 2010, the keynote of China's monetary policy has been "steady" for a long time, and it has changed to "moderately loose" for the first time in 14 years, and monetary policy is promising. In 2024, the regulatory mechanism of monetary policy has undergone a framework change. Since 2024, loan lending has changed from supply constraint to demand constraint, and monetary policy has gradually weakened its focus on quantitative targets and paid more attention to the role of interest rate regulation. Therefore, the adjustment of "moderate easing" in 2024 may mean that monetary policy will continue to exert its strength from the "demand side" in 2025, and continue to promote the expansion of effective financing demand by maintaining sufficient liquidity supply and reducing financing costs. The third is to "strengthen unconventional countercyclical adjustment". The meeting pointed out: "enrich and improve the policy toolbox, strengthen unconventional countercyclical adjustment, and lay a good policy' combination boxing'". The expression "extraordinary countercyclical regulation" was first put forward.According to the Interfax news agency, Ukraine reported that Ukrainian President Zelensky said that there are nearly 800,000 Russian troops in Ukraine.


According to statistics, on December 9, as of press time, five A-share listed companies including Jinghua Laser, Wuxi Zhenhua, Mindong Electric Power, Tefa Service and Yandongwei disclosed their holdings.The main force of China INE crude oil futures just broke through the 530.0 yuan/barrel mark, and the latest price was 530.1 yuan/barrel, up 1.69% in the day.On December 9th, some netizens found that oral SMEC was the first to be sold in the whole network of Meituan, so you can place an order first by searching for keywords, while trying to search for another "slimming medicine", or you can enter the reservation channel to make a reservation first. The oral version of Simei is also a star medicine that Meituan once again won the first launch of the whole network after Nuoheying. The weight-loss track continues to be hot. In the fourth quarter of this year, a large number of GLP-1 drugs were listed in China. Industry sources pointed out that the pre-sale in the same week was also the first positive confrontation between Smegrupeptide, the first weight-loss brother, and Telpotide, the reduced show. (Interface News)


Interpretation of the Political Bureau Meeting in December by CITIC Securities: It is estimated that the reverse repo rate will drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more. CITIC Securities Research Report pointed out that a new round of policy starting guns will be fired, and the policy inflection point will be reconfirmed, making it clear that the macro policy will be strengthened and effective in 2025. From the perspective of fiscal policy, the meeting called for the implementation of a "more active fiscal policy" and enriched the policy toolbox, which may indicate that in 2025, both deficit ratio in a narrow sense and deficit ratio in a broad sense will be significantly improved, and the focus of policy development is also expected to be marginal in the field of people's livelihood consumption. From the perspective of monetary policy, this Politburo meeting calls for the implementation of a moderately loose monetary policy. This is the first time that China has implemented a moderately loose monetary policy after 2010. It is estimated that the reverse repo rate will drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more. From the perspective of domestic demand policy, the statement of expanding domestic demand in an all-round way, especially "vigorously boosting consumption", exceeds market expectations. With the support of the existing policies coming into effect and the policy of increasing domestic demand, the improvement of domestic demand may have strong certainty and sustainability. In addition, in terms of structural policies, on the one hand, the meeting clearly stated that it is necessary to "stabilize the property market and the stock market", and the importance of the stock market continues to be highlighted, and real estate is still in the policy landing period; On the other hand, the meeting emphasized that "scientific and technological innovation leads the development of new quality productive forces", and new industries and future industries are expected to receive further policy support.The stock private placement position hit a new high since October, and the subjective private placement of 10 billion yuan significantly outperformed the quantification. The stock private placement position hit a new high in October, and more than half of the private placements were in Man Cang. According to the data of the third-party organization's private placement network, since September 30, the stock private placement position index has been on the rise as a whole. As of November 29 (due to information disclosure compliance and other reasons, the net value of private placement and position calculation data are relatively lagging behind), the stock private placement position index value is 73.61%, which is a new high since September 30. Among them, the index value of 10 billion private placements is 77.78%, which is 4.17% higher than the position value of 73.61% of stock private placements. At the same time, private equity in Man Cang accounts for more than half. According to the data of private placement network, as of November 29, 52.13% of the stock private placement positions were at the level of Man Cang; 26.87% of the stock private placement positions are at a medium level.Soochow securities interprets the meeting of the Politburo in December: there is more room for imagination in the policy of steady growth next year. soochow securities said that the meeting of the Politburo in December put forward three new formulations, indicating that there is more room for imagination in the policy of steady growth next year. The first is to "stabilize the property market and stock market". On September 26th, the Politburo meeting described the real estate market and the capital market as "to promote the real estate market to stop falling and stabilize" and "to vigorously boost the capital market". In December, the Politburo meeting put forward more directly and clearly: "Stabilize the property market and the stock market". The second is "moderately loose monetary policy". After 2010, the keynote of China's monetary policy has been "steady" for a long time, and it has changed to "moderately loose" for the first time in 14 years, and monetary policy is promising. In 2024, the regulatory mechanism of monetary policy has undergone a framework change. Since 2024, loan lending has changed from supply constraint to demand constraint, and monetary policy has gradually weakened its focus on quantitative targets and paid more attention to the role of interest rate regulation. Therefore, the adjustment of "moderate easing" in 2024 may mean that monetary policy will continue to exert its strength from the "demand side" in 2025, and continue to promote the expansion of effective financing demand by maintaining sufficient liquidity supply and reducing financing costs. The third is to "strengthen unconventional countercyclical adjustment". The meeting pointed out: "enrich and improve the policy toolbox, strengthen unconventional countercyclical adjustment, and lay a good policy' combination boxing'". The expression "extraordinary countercyclical regulation" was first put forward.

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